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January 21, 2020

Election year politics loom over the markets in 2020

  • Investors may want to pay particular attention to where the market stands about three months prior to the election, a period that has been predictive of past election outcomes.
    • By DAMIAN J. TROISE
    AP Business Writer

    NEW YORK — A potentially tumultuous presidential election campaign promises to add some extra drama to financial markets this year, although if history is any guide investors can cast aside some worries.

    The stock market typically rises in an election year, no matter which party claims the presidency. Overall, the S&P 500 has made gains in 78% of election years and the average gain is around 6%, no matter which party holds office since WWII. This year, Republican Donald Trump is seeking a second term and the S&P 500 has gained 6.6%, on average, since 1945 when a first-term Republican is running for re-election, according to CFRA Research.


     
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