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May 2, 2002
Around the world, “we will erect as many buildings in the next 50 years as we have in the last 5,000,” predicts David Orr of Oberlin College. For those developers in the Northwest who see light at the end of this tough economic tunnel, this bodes well.
We know that market demand will return. When it does, a building’s quality may need to be defined by more than the traditional criteria of the past. Definitions of quality in the near future may likely include environmental factors.
Commercial demand
In the building industry, the trend toward environmental awareness is ever apparent. More than 1,400 organizations have joined the U.S. Green Building Council, which developed the Leadership in Energy and Environmental Design (LEED) standards, a widely accepted green-building rating system. In less than three years, the number of LEED-registered projects has grown from zero to over 370. Both Ford and Honda already have buildings that are certified by the U.S. Green Building Council.
According to Nigel Howard, vice president of the U.S. Green Building Council, more than 40 percent of all new projects in the United Kingdom enroll in its equivalent to the LEED system. The U.K.’s commercial developers are seeking the system as a way to secure tenants who are looking for environmentally responsible buildings. Could this be a precursor to the future in the United States?
Quality and value
Traditionally, speculative developers have created value based on direct and immediate economic incentives related to minimizing risk and maximizing short-term returns — very tangible measures. The intangible element of the equation that can affect a building’s value is the building’s perceived quality.
The challenge is to find measurable “value” and “quality” through environmental values. This can include minimizing risk of liability for indoor air quality by creating healthy buildings; minimizing risk of unstable utility costs by minimizing current consumption; minimizing risk by providing flexibility now to install more advanced utility technologies in the future; responding to public perception/pressure of corporate responsibility; and by creating more demand through positive impacts on the health/productivity of the building’s tenants.
Energy-efficient buildings are more resilient to fluctuations and instability in energy and water costs, and may actually result in higher future profits for developers based upon higher desirability from potential tenants and, ultimately, lower vacancy rates.
Economic motivators
While an increasing number of speculative developers are responding to an internal value set — a strong belief that environmentally smart development is “the right thing to do” — the bottom line is still what matters in the end. Research is beginning to show that green development could be a smarter economic decision and a potential criterion for investment in the future.
Unique factors play into making economic decisions when doing a green speculative development. The Seattle-based Urban Environmental Institute recently identified several strategies arising from the emerging green market. However, all are not yet economically proven and only serve as a guide for developers.
Public savings
Governments, utilities and other institutions are encouraging green development through economic incentives in order to help reduce the demand for services and minimize expensive infrastructure investments. Some examples:
The next wave of public incentives will likely grow out of the fact that a green development could be housing more people for significantly less resource consumption per square foot, which means less infrastructure investment. As such, why not allow a 25 percent floor-area ratio or a height increase?
The future
Over time, market demand for environmentally smart speculative development may become a necessity as energy resources continue to be depleted and costs for utilities continue to increase.
In 2001, the Seattle area saw an average increase of almost 17 percent in gas costs, a 20 percent increase in electrical costs and a 12 percent increase in sewer costs. Developers that adjust their definitions for quality and value now may experience a market advantage over developers that choose to build more traditionally.
“It is time now for companies in our sector to ready themselves for the business environment of the future, not the past,” said London developer Sir Martin Laing, addressing the Sustainable Construction Task Group in London last fall. “This requires leadership from the top — we have got to stop regarding sustainability as some irksome burden being forced on us. It is an opportunity to be grasped, to improve our reputation, reduce our risk and gain the bottom-line rewards.”
In the U.S. this also rings true. In order to protect the future for our businesses, we all need to work towards a new definition of quality.
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