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June 1, 2010
I read (the May 25 DJC) article “Local architecture market: Less dismal than last year”; with interest. My feeling is that the title is a mis-statement of the data. A more correct headline would be: “Architecture billings continue to decline — though not as fast as last year.”
It is funny to think of the Architecture Billings Index as “improving” when it is below 50, meaning that billings are getting worse. If billings have declined every month since January 2008, we are actually in the worst position we've been in for two and a half years. That is just awful. There may be a few exceptions, but on average it means no new jobs — just fewer layoffs.
We are a small business. Job prospects we could easily snag a few years ago are getting grabbed by big firms with huge portfolios. The big fish are fishing in the small ponds. If some firms such as Weber Thompson are experiencing rising billings, for the index to be below 50, other firms are declining substantially.
It might feel less dismal to business owners who laid off half their staff in the previous year. It's not that they have more work but that they have less mouths to feed. Since things are declining slowly now, instead of facing laying off several people this month, I may only have to lay off one, or just not have quite enough work for everyone. If you include all the unemployed architects, things look more dismal than ever.
Maggi Johnson
Johnson|Southerland
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